Evidence Finder
Structure what you know. Flag what you don't. Then audit.
Step 1 — Bet Identification
Evidence Score
0%WEAKDo not bet without more research
0 known · 26 unknown · 0 N/A
Step 2 — Evidence Checklist
A — Market Data
- Current line / odds
- Opening line / odds
- Line movement direction (toward or away from your bet)
- Public betting % (ticket side)
- Money % (handle side)
- Sharp vs public signal (reverse line movement?)
- Juice level (is juice too expensive for the edge?)
B — Player / Team Status
- Injury status (confirmed playing?)
- Practice status (full / limited / DNP)
- Hidden injury or load management concern
- Usage last 3 games (snap share / carries / targets / minutes)
- Usage trend (stable / increasing / decreasing)
C — Matchup
- Opponent defensive ranking vs this position/role
- Specific matchup quality (favorable / neutral / tough)
- Game pace matchup (does it fit the bet?)
- Home / away split
D — Game Context
- Game script (close / blowout / defensive / shootout?)
- Divisional / rivalry factor
- Playoff / elimination context
- Travel / rest disadvantage
E — Bias Checks
- Recency bias check (driven by last game's performance?)
- Public hype check (is everyone on this side?)
- Narrative trap check (good story but weak evidence?)
F — Price and Value
- Fair odds estimate (what should this really be priced at?)
- Is the current price fair, overpriced, or underpriced?
- Closing line value potential (will this line move further your way?)
Missing Evidence — Fill These Before Betting
- • Current line / odds
- • Opening line / odds
- • Line movement direction (toward or away from your bet)
- • Public betting % (ticket side)
- • Money % (handle side)
- • Sharp vs public signal (reverse line movement?)
- • Juice level (is juice too expensive for the edge?)
- • Injury status (confirmed playing?)
- • Practice status (full / limited / DNP)
- • Hidden injury or load management concern
- • Usage last 3 games (snap share / carries / targets / minutes)
- • Usage trend (stable / increasing / decreasing)
- • Opponent defensive ranking vs this position/role
- • Specific matchup quality (favorable / neutral / tough)
- • Game pace matchup (does it fit the bet?)
- • Home / away split
- • Game script (close / blowout / defensive / shootout?)
- • Divisional / rivalry factor
- • Playoff / elimination context
- • Travel / rest disadvantage
- • Recency bias check (driven by last game's performance?)
- • Public hype check (is everyone on this side?)
- • Narrative trap check (good story but weak evidence?)
- • Fair odds estimate (what should this really be priced at?)
- • Is the current price fair, overpriced, or underpriced?
- • Closing line value potential (will this line move further your way?)